@Sasanka_of_Gauda I was wrong
Edit: Egypt willing to use rubles to trade with Russia https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2022/06/egypt-plans-use-ruble-trade-russia
Edit 2: Sri Lanka too wants that oil https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/south-asia/bankrupt-sri-lanka-seeks-discounted-russian-oil/articleshow/92472265.cms
Edit 3: Mongolia also getting that oil https://www.russia-briefing.com/news/russia-mongolia-trade-up-30-looking-to-expand.html/
So is China: https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2022/6/20/china-oil-imports-from-sanctioned-russia-skyrocket-surpass-saudi
So is India : https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/indias-crude-oil-imports-from-russia-jumps-50-times-now-accounts-for-10-of-all-import/
BRICS nations gonna have their own reserve currency : https://think.ing.com/opinions/brics-the-new-name-in-reserve-currencies/
Worst case scenario: Russia economy is in recession for 10 years before getting back to 2021 levels of growth. This is worst case scenario right now. Just as bad as European Union. So not a big deal. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/06/17/russian-economy-faces-10-years-of-recession-without-reforms-sberbank-ceo-a78031
Ruble hits 7 year high : https://news.bitcoin.com/ruble-hits-7-year-high-bukele-oleary-unfazed-by-crypto-downturn-elon-musk-will-keep-buying-doge-bitcoin-com-news-week-in-review/
Russian ruble is the strongest currency in the world this year: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-ukraine-ruble-currency-russian-economy-2022/
Boom in Yuan Ruble trade: https://asiatimes.com/2022/06/yuan-ruble-trade-boom-a-wakeup-call-for-biden/
Conclusion: Russian economy is secure as it can shift all it's import needs to China from the west while moving all it's exports to the same nation. It also has increasing trade with Egypt, India, and Mongolia. That's enough countries for a trillion dollar nation to keep rising up in economic terms or at least stay aloft.
The Mongolia, China, Russia integration system is already in play and will likely win out. Russia is safe and can only be cut off from the cutting edge. Beyond that whatever the Chinese develop becomes accessible to the Russians as trade partners. China is already a more developed economy than Russia which means that Russia has constant access to better tech to work with. Sorry westoids but you can only make your club exclusive, but you can no longer stop growth of those outside of the club.
Edit 4: Russian inflation is twice the current rate of US inflation. That is the primary downside. However the Russians are more used to getting economically fricked than the US citizen.
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/inflation-may-2022-consumer-prices-food-and-gas-rcna32774
Edit 5 : Russia finally defaults on it's debts after getting away with it for months at the last second. As per article - " But given the damage already done to the economy and markets, the default is also mostly symbolic for now", so trade with China continues as normal. Debt defaults matter when neutral countries have to decide whether they want to invest in you or not. Countries that favor you will invest in you irrespective of debt status as per my understanding. https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/russia-defaults-on-foreign-debt-for-first-time-since-1918/articleshow/92479426.cms
Edit 6: Russia still in a position to turn Ukraine into a crater on the Earth if it goes full artillery strikes don't care about the cities or infrastructure mode. https://eurasiantimes.com/russias-200-year-old-artillery-first-doctrine-that-devastated-ukraine/
Russia supplying Belarus with more weapons systems thus guaranteeing an ally right inside the EU that is hostile to the west and is now better armed. https://www.wionews.com/world/russia-will-supply-belarus-with-missile-systems-capable-of-carrying-nuclear-weapons-491833
Ukraine says missile attack came from Belarus which means things just got worse for Ukraine getting even more surrounded. https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/ukraine-reports-massive-attack-from-belarus-3100041
Russia achieved one of it's key strategic goals when it took over severodonetsk completely. So far they aren't losing just getting extremely slowed down. They still have the bodies to throw though. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61945914
Serbia still close enough to Russia to secure new gas deals with them well into the war. That's two hostile to the EU players in the west. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/5/29/serbia-ignores-eu-sanctions-secures-gas-deal-with-putin
Even Turkey is neutral to Russia. https://www.republicworld.com/world-news/russia-ukraine-crisis/turkey-defends-its-neutral-stance-on-kyiv-says-sanctioning-russia-to-harm-its-economy-articleshow.html
Hungary continuing to oppose Russian oil bans and other sanction measures taken by the EU. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/30/eu-to-discuss-watered-down-oil-embargo-on-russia-as-hungary-holds-firm.html
Russia is still active in Syria participating in military drills there which shows that the west did not even succeed in their goal of getting the Russians to leave Syria even in the middle of a devastating ongoing war. https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2022/06/26/Syrian-and-Russian-paratroopers-conduct-joint-military-drill
Conclusion 2: Russia is not isolated at all currently. It has only been kicked out of the US and European Union main markets. Beyond that it is still well connected to the rest of the middling economies of the world and holds great sway there, well enough to continue to thrive in the long run.
The final question then is will Russia win in Ukraine in a long all out war, and the answer is likely yes if their economy cannot be fully crashed but only slowed down. Russia will just keep importing more people from Belarus even if the population begins to collapse.
Edit 7: @genuineloicensed this is not an agendapost you are a shit reporter if you checked my history you would know I post both for an against on various issues. I have no side thus I cannot agendapost go frick yourself you biased ninny.
@JewTwo I am not an AI I am a very smart and good looking human whose competencies can be mistaken as superhuman AI or demigod equivalents to normies such as yourself. Have faith, I am not above the people, just better than them.
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Imagine saying βSri Lanka and Mongolia want our oil so weβll be okβ
My brother in Christ have you seen Sri Lanka recently?
How does the oil get to these countries all the current pipelines were designed by Euro/Yank engineers are you sure want Rajesh and Xio Xao designing anything?
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The beauty of ships is they can float. So if some r-slurred government is trying to make their owner lose money they can float away to some less r-slurred government. And take those juicy tax revenues with them. Like all those rando Panama flagged ships. All of which is to say Greeks thankfully aren't extremely r-slurred lmao.
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Chinese Cargo ships. Plus maybe it doesn't get as far as Sri Lanka, but in the case of Mongolia pipelines were being talked about and construction setup for years already. China was already setting up and preparing for all eventualities you could get a glimpse of that already in 2015.
Xio Xao infra still gets the job done just with a higher chance of fatal collapse at random sometime after a decade.
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This is industrial cope, Chinese cargo ships lmao.
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For Sri Lanka maybe, the Mongolian oil pipes are still working out though. Russia shifted like 70-80% of the Western oil supply losses to the east already If I read it right.
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Mongolian pipelines to save the Russian economy lmao
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If it works it works. A China-Mongolia-Russia network is pretty much unbeatable compared to the EU or the US.
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