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So actually, who's winning and who's going to win?

I keep hearing conflicting info on this but it should be obvious to anyone curious, I know you're doing the team sports thing but just tell me how the war is going and who's actually going to win.

I don't really follow this war so I don't know if the following bonus options make sense:

11
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Russia :marseytrotsky: is winning and is going :marseysal2: to win

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