After careful consideration over the last year, we at Blizzard have made the decision not to hold BlizzCon in 2024. This decision was not made lightly as BlizzCon remains a very special event for all of us, and we know many of you look forward to it. While we're approaching this year differently and as we have explored different event formats in the past, rest assured that we are just as excited as ever to bring BlizzCon back in future years.

Over the next few months, we'll be sharing more details about our launches coming later this year, including World of Warcraft: The War Within and Diablo IV's first expansion, Vessel of Hatred. To celebrate these upcoming releases and to bring our communities together in new and special ways, we will soon share some exciting plans for other industry trade shows and conventions like Gamescom. We can't wait to tell you more about those plans soon. We're also looking forward to the Overwatch Champions Series' stops at both Dreamhack Dallas and Dreamhack Stockholm. And we're thrilled to be planning multiple, global, in-person events to commemorate the 30th anniversary of Warcraft, which will be held in addition to the in-game celebrations across our Warcraft games throughout 2024. While these events are distinct from BlizzCon, we're harnessing all of our creativity and imagination to ensure that they carry the same spirit of celebration and togetherness.

Our hope is that these experiences – alongside several live-streamed industry events where we'll keep you up to date with what's happening in our game universes – will capture the essence of what makes the Blizzard community so special.

No matter how you choose to connect with us at these events this year – whether it be in person or virtually – we can't wait to see you there!

My guess that it's a combination of low interest, having nothing to show, and microsoft not liking live events, even though it's the 20th anniversary of WoW. I haven't been excited for a Blizzard release since Overwatch anyway.

Mister big brains

• He is also charged with theft and retaliating against a witness, related to alleged illicit payments he made to a school athletics coach, as well as stalking, prosecutors said

The principal

The audio of the recording is here

https://twitter.com/phil_lewis_/status/1747708846942851493

In summary

The voice refers to “ungrateful Black kids who can't test their way out of a paper bag” and questions how hard it is to get those students to meet grade-level expectations. The speaker uses names of people who appear to be staff members and says they should not have been hired, and that he should get rid of another person “one way or another.”

“And if I have to get one more complaint from one more Jew in this community, I'm going to join the other side,” the voice said.

Darien was being investigated as of December in a theft investigation that had been initiated by Eiswert. Police say Darien had authorized a $1,916 payment to the school's junior varsity basketball coach, who was also his roommate, under the pretense that he was an assistant girls soccer coach. He was not, school officials said. Eiswert determined that Darien had submitted the payment to the school payroll system, bypassing proper procedures. Darien had been notified of the investigation, police said.

The first picture is of my dad, me and my brother a few weeks before he would be hospitalized.

My father contracted HIV in the Navy due to unsafe medical practices conducted by the military. He would unknowingly give HIV to my mom. According to how far along my mom's conditon was, she contracted it sometime between my birth and after my brother's birth. Neither me nor my brother have it, so it is most likely my mom contracted HIV after my brother was born. Because they were having unprotected s*x to have children, my father likely contracted HIV close to when I or my brother was born, but we can never know for sure. He served in the Navy in California. It was not common practice at this time to test heterosexual, non-drug using, non-hemaphiliacs at this time, so my parents went unnoticed until my dad became sick.

My dad became sick very suddenly. He started being extremely fatigued and losing his appetite. He was unable to work and would collapse from exhaustion at home. He was taken to the hospital and diagnosed with AIDS.

In the hospital, he caught the common flu and died from a blood clot related to his AIDS diagnosis. My mom is still alive and HIV positive. She is doing well.

Please get tested, no matter who you are or what your lifestyle is.

>navy

>California

>”unsafe medical procedure” (obvious bs)

>fruity pic (even I picked up on this)

Is “unsafe medical practices” in the Navy code for unprotected gay s*x?

https://old.reddit.com/r/popculturechat/comments/1ccrkxe/harvey_weinsteins_conviction_is_overturned_by_new/?sort=controversial

https://old.reddit.com/r/Fauxmoi/comments/1ccrtvx/new_yorks_highest_court_on_thursday_overturned/?sort=controversial

https://old.reddit.com/r/nyc/comments/1ccrjgq/harvey_weinsteins_conviction_is_overturned_by_new/?sort=controversial

https://old.reddit.com/r/law/comments/1ccrnhh/harvey_weinsteins_conviction_is_overturned_by_new/?sort=controversial

https://old.reddit.com/r/entertainment/comments/1ccrjeq/harvey_weinsteins_conviction_is_overturned_by_new/?sort=controversial

Harvey Weinstein's r*pe conviction overturned in New York

The disgraced movie producer was convicted of r*pe in February 2020.

The r*pe conviction of movie producer Harvey Weinstein has been overturned by New York's highest court.

The New York Court of Appeals, in a 4-3 opinion, overturned Weinstein's conviction on s*x crimes against three women, finding the trial judge "erroneously admitted testimony of uncharged, alleged prior sexual acts against persons other than the complainants of the underlying crimes."

The court said that testimony "served no material non-propensity purpose" and "portrayed defendant in a highly prejudicial light."

Weinstein, 72, was a well-known, powerful man within the entertainment industry and prosecutors said he abused his power to take advantage of aspiring female actors, like the alleged victims, to coerce them into unwanted sexual encounters. According to the prosecution, the quid pro quo of assisting them with their careers in exchange for sexual favors on demand was both common behavior and a well-known secret throughout the film industry.

Prosecutors said the testimony of women other than those whose claims formed the basis of the criminal charges spoke to Weinstein's state of mind to use forcible compulsion. The majority opinion, however, said that eviscerated the time-tested rule against propensity evidence, "which, in criminal cases, serves as a judicial bulwark against a guilty verdict based on supposition rather than proof."

Weinstein remains in prison. The Manhattan district attorney's office could decide to retry him.

Weinstein was also convicted of s*x offenses in Los Angeles and sentenced to 16 years in prison there.

!dramatards

All my prompts had "dark skin" in to be fair but I forgot about aggressively wrestling the ai with things like "Nigerian, African" to actually make it do dark skin

!g*mers

Most Based Comments

Basedness: 🔥🔥🔥🔘🔘

"We should stop carpet-bombing civilians" - Ilhan Omar"Stop being so antisemitic" - /r/altmpls (-18)

Basedness: 🔥🔥🔥🔘🔘

Well, it is very easy for illegals to vote in this state.  (6)

There's zero evidence of widespread election fraud. Zero.Millions upon millions of our tax dollars were spent on endless recounts. Not a single one found widespread fraud. If someone has information to the contrary, I'm happy to look at it. (-16)

Basedness: 🔥🔥🔘🔘🔘

Where are the lies and where is the antisemitism? (-4)

Angriest Comments

Angriness: 😡😡😡😡😡

I watched this entire clip. What exact line did she say that was an "antisemitic lie"? I get that you hate her but criticizing the Israeli government's response does not mean "you must hate the Jews!". (2)

She should be condemning the attack since violence is a bad thing and not trying to make Israel look bad you would agree that violence is bad right and bombing a nation full of jews isn't cool? (2)

Angriness: 😡😡😡😡🔘

[removed] (-4)

I am a disenfranchised democrat. I noticed how corrupt they were from 2008-12. I did not switch to republican because i really dislike them.You are the problem. Let the racists speak because if you are right you can talk back and prove them wrong. Same with bigots and sexists.Or you can censor everyone until there is nothing but Liberal Nonsense that is killing the country. The government is acting like a oligarchy and all the democrats can talk about is how horrible Trump is. You call people bigots when they are not bigots, you end up living within the ignorance you created. (8)

Angriness: 😡😡😡😡🔘

These people are never willing to call out the radical islamists who abuse and enslave their own people or the fact that life is heck for women in Islamic ruled countries. (3)

Biggest Lolcow: /u/Kindly_Athlete_5372

Score: 🐮🐮🐮🐮🐮(+0🐮)

Number of comments: 10

Average angriness: 🔘🔘🔘🔘🔘

Maximum angriness: 😡😡😡😡🔘

Minimum angriness: 🔘🔘🔘🔘🔘

NEW: Subscribe to /h/miners to see untapped drama veins, ripe for mining!

autodrama: automating away the jobs of dramautists. Ping HeyMoon if there are any problems or you have a suggestion

First of all I'm going off on information about Krayon (sister toucher) that was already divulged by Carp and FroCho

This from the post here: https://rdrama.net/post/257327/apparently-the-user-who-dropped-users (Archive)

And this from the comment here: https://rdrama.net/post/257327/apparently-the-user-who-dropped-users/6185775#context (Archive)

So what we know know is that Krayon (sister toucher)'s allegedly named "Grant Simmons" and 952-378-7642 is his phone number

So we do a little reverse phone look up using https://www.numlookup.com/ for his number and we get "Patrick Simmons" who has the same last name. Probably a father or uncle or brother?

Area code for 952 is Minneapolis/St-Paul

When you do a search for "Patrick Simmons Minnesota"...

You get articles about some dude in St Paul who has a history of abusive behaviour towards his girlfriend stabbing her and setting her on fire killing her

Article: https://www.twincities.com/2022/03/16/woman-killed-in-st-paul-had-incredible-spirit-friend-says-in-fundraiser-for-3-daughters/ (Archive)

Simmons returned to his Bloomington home, set it on fire and drove away, the complaint said.

Co-workers went to Simmons' residence and discovered him parked nearby, and they flagged down police who were responding to the area. Officers arrested Simmons.

He had blood on his clothing, his face was covered in soot, and his facial hair and eyebrows were singed.

Simmons told investigators that Goodermont “was a witch and he did this to stand up for the babies being killed and sacrificed with witchcraft,” the complaint said.

He said he threw gasoline on Goodermont and lit it with his lighter. Police asked where he got the gas and he replied, “I got the gasoline at my house. So, yeah, it's premeditated.” He said he burned his house “because there was paranormal activity going on there.”

Last summer, Simmons was the subject of a petition for civil commitment and a court document said he was hospitalized for psychosis and receiving treatment at the time.

No attorney for Simmons, who is being held in the Ramsey County jail, was listed in the court record as of Wednesday. He is charged with second-degree intentional murder.

And if you really noootice they have the same hair colour, curly hair, facial structure and features:

We know from the articles that Patrick Simmons did a murder around March 2022

And Krayon (sister toucher) was texting FroCho using that number around September 2021 (Source: https://rdrama.net/post/14661/the-autists-last-sperg-krayon (sister toucher)-sister - Archive) when she was forced to post his "manifesto"

And based on his DMs to the jannies he seems hyperfocused on his daddy

So in a nutshell:

• phone number he texted users on this site from is registered to a Patrick Simmons

• area code shows Minneapolis/St Paul in the state of Minnesota

• googling "Patrick Simmons Minnesota" gives you articles of some guy murdering his girlfriend by stabbing and setting her on fire

• same hair colour, curly hair, facial structure, features

• same brand of lunacy

• Krayon (sister toucher) having daddy issues based on his DMs to the jannies

• timeline fits

!metashit

Please disprove me because

The owner of 'Topsters #2', a site that allowed you to make collages of album covers you'd listened to or something, deleted the entire site and all user data earlier today with no warning, leaving only the above warning and a recommendation of some Gregorian chant. (official thread theme, find it from this link)

https://neverendingchartrendering.org/

(At work right now so I can't listen to the specific piece he links, but as a bonafide lifelong Latin Mass attending church choir member who has sung and heard more Gregorian chant than most people can imagine, it sucks! Sacred polyphony blows it out of the water, but tradcath larpers are so infatuated with funny monk music and it pisses me off)

This has predictably pissed off the redditors of /r/Topster, a community of... people who make album cover collages? Whatever they do, they're mad they don't get to do it anymore, unless they use one of the other sites that do the exact same thing. (Why are there so many?)

Some choice links:

https://old.reddit.com/r/Topster/comments/1ccdszs/topster_guy_is_out_again/?sort=controversial The main thread, has some amusing seethe

i feel ya,,, had a whole "to listen to" list as well.... my buring of the library of alexandria

https://old.reddit.com/r/Topster/comments/1ccsaet/how_selfish_do_you_have_to_be_to_delete_such_a/?sort=controversial This redditor was looking forward to making a list of their top 100 albums for their first 'transversary' but now they've lost all their data reads like an rdrama baitpost

And the best part of all of this is that this isn't even the first time! This guy has shut down the entire website over his schizoposting before, so they can't even claim this was unexpected. Great write up on that incident by @MarseyIsMyWaifu here: https://rdrama.net/h/music/post/69617/maintainer-of-toptsters-20-album-cover, but that r-slur put it in the music hole so no one ever saw it.

I just don't get Taylor Swift

CNN — AJ Willingham

Editor's Note: This is the first in an occasional series, “I Just Don't Get It.” Sometimes, no matter how popular something is, it just doesn't click with us. Whether it's a food, a hobby, a pop culture star, or anything else that the masses seem to adore, we all have those “I just don't get it” moments. In this lighthearted series, CNN staffers explore why we just don't get things that other people seem to love.

I just don't get Taylor Swift. There, I said it. (DISCLAIMER: I DO NOT DISLIKE HER. I WISH HER ALL OF THE HAPPINESS AND SUCCESS IN THE WORLD. PLEASE, I HAVE A FAMILY.)

It's freeing to just … not care about something, isn't it? When friends start to wax poetic about the Eras Tour or their favorite Taylor Swift song, I listen politely as if they were talking about professional darts or French cinema, and a feeling of peace washes over me.

I do not need to love things, I think to myself. I do not need to hate them, either. I can simply watch them pass by like a leaf borne along a river's current and say, “Well, that certainly is a thing!”

Granted, it is a lot harder when that thing is, by all indications, specifically made for you to enjoy.

While Taylor Swift can appeal to anyone, there is real data showing what a single peek at an Eras Tour crowd or a simple walk outside can tell you: Swifties are most likely to be White suburban millennial women like me. Minds much more qualified than mine have written about the tension between Swift's position as a “voice of a generation” and how much that voice is or isn't speaking for listeners of color. That's a different conversation worth having, but it's not the one I'm getting at here.

What makes me itchy is the constant framing of Taylor Swift's music among my peers (or at least my census-designated demographic) as an unassailable communion of girl-and-womanhood: A favorable review of “The Tortured Poets Department” in The Spectator calls Swift “the tortured voice of millennials.” On a recent episode of BBC NewsNight, author Kat McKenna said the “uniqueness of Taylor Swift is that she speaks for an audience that is not always spoken for.”

While I don't begrudge people that kind of connection, there's only so many times you can hear lyrics from “Cardigan” or “Cruel Summer” invoked like prayers before you start to feel like there's something wrong with you.

You kept me like a secret, but I kept you like an oath.

You showed me colors you know I can't see with anyone else.

Great lines! Beautiful lines. To many fans, such stanzas are life-affirming poetry or, at the very least, quotable enough to adorn shirts and throw pillows and Stanley cups as crystallizations of their own identity.

But are they truly so unique? I have never gotten something out of a Taylor Swift song about love, loss, heartbreak, revenge, shame or self-actualization that I couldn't have gotten from dozens of other artists. It honestly feels like I missed a day in White woman class when they explained, in detail, all of the ley lines of feminine kinship that are supposed to connect our paths with hers.

Again, I respect the Taylor Swift lovers. I have seen, firsthand, thousands of women at the starting gate of a novelty 10k race belting out “You Belong With Me” at the top of their lungs at 4:15am. From inside the cocoon of my noise-cancelling headphones it looked joyous and fun, and who in the world would find fault with that?

Maybe that's why the whole Not-Caring-About-Taylor-Swift thing stings. It does feel like I'm missing out on something. It does feel like the cogs of my life, and maybe even my identity, would be slightly more lubricated if I could eke out a single independent thought about Taylor Swift that wasn't “She seems like a suitable role model!” or “I really admire her commitment to good bangs!”

(If you think this apathy comes from a place of snobbery, ha, you are wrong! I do not have good taste in music. My most listened-to Spotify tracks are Spanish gospel hymns and stuff with names like “soothing 438 mHz tone therapy for very delicate people.”)

Until recently, admitting to not enjoying Taylor Swift's music was a bizarrely political statement. Said in the wrong circles, even such a mild admission could get you branded a hater, a misogynist, a contrarian bore or one of those adult women who still plays the “I'm not like other girls” card.

That's not an overstatement. The Cut recently published a piece by a woman who ended a relationship with a friend who didn't like Taylor Swift. More alarmingly, Paste Magazine elected not to byline its critical review of “Poets” because, according to an editor's note the publication posted on X, a review of her 2019 album “Lover” resulted in the writer receiving “threats of violence from readers who disagreed with the work.” While these are extremes, there is always some anxiety in admitting you don't care about something you seem expected to care deeply about.

However, the days of Taylor Swift as an ultimate cultural barometer may be waning. While Swift fans were thrilled with the release of her new double-length album (again, good for them!), critical reception was more mixed. Following the feverish media whirlwind of “The Eras Tour” and her impact on the NFL season as she supported her boyfriend, Kansas City Chiefs player Travis Kelce, people seem ready to talk about Swift in tones more tempered than slavering ardor or hardened, pointless hatred.

If you don't love Taylor Swift, if you don't hate her; if she is simply not something that affects your life whatsoever, it's probably safe to come out now. Go, take your apathy, and be free.

Microsoft just open-sourced DOS 4 https://t.co/iOeLUVfVok (as well a release of beta binaries, disk images, and PDFs from @rozzie's archives!) (but who did the PR?!) pic.twitter.com/g3VyOCsT40

— Scott Hanselman 🌮 (@shanselman) April 25, 2024

obligatory datamining warning. upload a photo w/ a face and it will describe it. this is what i got

>A woman is sitting at a desk in an office. She is wearing a white shirt and glasses. In front of her, there is a laptop. The woman appears focused on her work, with a cup on the desk next to her. The room has a window in the background, letting in natural light. The woman''s facial features show that she is around 28 years old. She is the only person in the room, and there is a chair next to her desk. The overall color scheme of the image includes shades of green, yellow, and brown.

i tried another website though and it changes between male/female depending on angle & lighting. so i don't pass yet, but hopefuel.

A Chinese passport can be the best protection when someone is in danger? Haha! Many in China actually believe this CCP propaganda crap. pic.twitter.com/WJh6WBps6f

— Bin Xie (解滨） (@bxieus) April 17, 2024

The uploader of this video shot himself in the head

Since the advent of modern financial markets, bonds have always had the reputation of being conservative. The saying has been “Bonds would never make you rich.”

However, they would provide you with a moderate, steady, and dependable income.

This reputation was challenged in the 1970s and 1980s by treasuries yielding more than 10% in the wake of high inflation and the explosive growth in the high-yield market. In the decades that followed, yields drifted down in parallel with inflation, but investor excitement was maintained by a steady stream of capital gains (with the proliferation of ABS and MBS) as well as income.

However, once monetary easing hit its peak in the days following the Great Financial Crisis, high-quality bond yields fell to levels that promised very little income and at best modest capital gains, and it took a long time for yields to eventually recover to their historical averages. However, in the aftermath of the pandemic, massive government borrowing, inflation, and Fed tightening have all contributed to rising bond yields. But since over the past year, despite a winding down of pandemic effects, very steady economic growth, declining inflation, and a pulse in Fed tightening, bond volatility has persisted, with yields seeing sharp swings in both directions.

Indeed, since the Fed last raised rates on July 26th of last year, the 10-year Treasury yield has ranged from a low of 3.79% to a high of 4.98%. Statistically, this represents well above average volatility, and it raises some important questions for portfolio optimization (how to practically hedge). So it raises the question why bond volatility has risen, where it might go from here, and how investors should adapt to a world of more volatile bonds.

First, take a look at some key economic data and events for the week ahead. The most important economic numbers will be contained in Thursday's GDP report (keep an eye out for that). Business fixed investment, inventories and trade are all likely to detract from growth. However, the broad story appears to be one very modest deceleration from the 3.1% GDP growth seen over the course of last year to a 2.2-2.4%, while still running a little above the Federal Reserve's 1.8% longer-run estimate of the potential growth of the US economy.

Overall, it is expected these numbers to point to continued moderate economic expansion. Turning to the earnings season, with 14% of S&P 500 market cap reporting so far, the profit picture appears mixed, showing 70% of firms beating analysts' expectations in EPS, but only 46% beating on revenues. However, first quarter of corporate performance should be much clearer by the end of this week, since 158 of the S&P 500 companies are set to report over the next five days. Meta, ThermoFischer, IBM, AT&T and Boeing are set to release theirs today. Microsoft, Google, T-Mobile, Merck, Intel and Comcast set for tomorrow and Exxon, Chevron and Abbvie due on Friday. (Find your portfolio holdings date here https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/earnings , can't list them all 😴😴😴)

Investors will also be very interested in the translation of earlier CPI data for March into the Fed's preferred consumption deflation measures due out on Friday. Markets in general are pricing in that both the headline and core consumption deflation measures rose by 0.3% month to month in March, with year-over-year gains rising by 0.1% to 2.6% at the headline level and falling by 0.1% to 2.7% at the core level, that core inflation pressures are still easing, but at a glacially slow pace.

Just as financial commentators routinely say that we live in uncertain times, Michael Burry routinely says another recession is coming and Disney often claims the next Marvel movie is the best one yet, markets often claim that market volatility is unusually high. However, when it comes to the US bond market today, this is actually true. Looking at the Bloomberg aggregate bond index from January 2002 to June 2022, the average monthly return was 0.3%, with the standard deviation measured over a 24-month lag of 0.9%. That is to say, roughly two-thirds of the time, the monthly return was within a range of 0.6% to plus 1.2%. However, from July 2022 to March 2024, the standard deviation of monthly returns has actually fricking been 2.0%. A crazy amount for a piece of paper which basically does nothing but guarantee a coupon and a maturity payout.

In examining the causes of this volatility, it's easiest to start with what isn't causing it.

First, it's not due to increased volatility in economic growth. Over the past two years, the macroeconomic outlook has, if anything, become steadier. The unemployment rate has now been in a narrow band between 3.4% and 4.0% (literally all of rdrama.net) for 28 straight months, while real GDP growth appears to have settled into a steady, if somewhat strong, path.

Nor is it due to increased volatility in financial markets in general. This can be seen by the fact that equity market volatility has not risen nearly as much. Between January 2002 and June 2022, the standard deviation of bond market returns measured over a 24-month lag was just 27% of that of the equity market, as measured by the S&P 500 total return index. From July 2022 to March 2024, that ratio has been 37%.

Finally, and most interestingly, it's not due to greater volatility in inflation expectations.”

Measured on a monthly frequency, this expectation has stayed in a narrow band between 2.18% and 2.41% since September 2022. In fact, the standard deviation of inflation expectations measured in this manner has been almost 20% lower since July 2022 than in the prior 17.5 years. Think about it, not since the Invasion of Iraq and the global oil supply shitshow, has inflation expectations been so low.

When you look at more recently at data, CPI's are not doing much anymore. They have kind of bottomed. You being r-slurred, can argue that goods disinflation, which had been very powerful was the main driver of this disinflation trend. Well, no. That is over. Goods disinflation is arguably behind us now. And in some segments, you are seeing goods prices starting to rise again. The monthly core CPI was boosted by rents. Motor vehicle insurance was another driver, surging 2.6%. That was the largest rise since July 2020 and followed a 0.9% gain in February. There were also increases in the prices of apparel and personal care. But prices for used cars and trucks, recreation and new vehicles fell. Make of that data what you will. If you can match that to your portfolio company's earnings and cash out on expiring options, congratulations, you have just made your money like the big boy bucks in The Street.

But obviously, energy is still a question mark. And with what's going on in the Middle East and the most recent moves in rice, cocoa, oil, one can wonder to what extent there might be some pickup in energy inflation and consequently commodity inflation. And finally, and most importantly, obviously, services inflation is very resilient.

This is especially problematic in the US. US isn't China where you can just manufacture bullshit. Everyone knows that services inflation is very sensitive to the job market, to the resilience of the economy, to wages. And on this front, obviously, the job market across both sides of the Atlantic is very strong.

So, you know that the economists at the BLS and Fed think we have reached kind of a plateau.

But then, what is causing higher volatility in bonds, you ask incredulously?

First, Occam's Gillette. That this may be due in part to the huge volume of government debt that needs to be financed today. 20 years ago, treasury debt in the hands of the public was $4.2 trillion or 36% of GDP. Ten years ago, it was $12.6 trillion or 74% of GDP. By the end of last month, it was $27.5 trillion or 99% of GDP. It's quite possible that this extraordinary level of debt is straining global capital markets in a way that just wasn't the case 10 or 20 years ago, leading to more volatility.

This effect may be further amplified by quantitative tightening, which is having the effect of transferring treasury ownership from price insensitive buyers such as the Federal Reserve to much more price sensitive private sector actors. Moreover, this effect could be further increased by the general decline in dealer balance sheets in response to regulation, even as the overall size of the global bond market has increased. Second, higher short-term rates may be contributing to higher bond volatility.

With a normal upward-sloping yield curve, it's easy to assign investors to one of two well-defined camps. Those willing to accept some risk and return for better yields and potential capital gains would invest in long-term bonds, while those willing to sacrifice return for safety would stay at the short end of the curve. However, with overnight rates well above 5% and long rates significantly lower, many long-term investors may be tempted to tactically switch in and out of the short end of the market, adding volatility to bonds. Basically instead of hedging equities with bonds and credit with rates, they are speculating with your pension funds and having fun. (Let them have fun, bigot 🤬🤬!!).

Finally, and most hilariously, today's volatile bond market may reflect hypersensitivity of the Fed. Prior to the most recent inflation surge, Fed officials appeared to be relatively unfazed by small overshoots and undershoots on inflation. However, today we appear to be in an era of zero inflation tolerance on the part of the Fed. Consequently, a very slight overshoot in the March CPI numbers induced an immediate and violent reaction to the bond market, as futures markets almost overnight went from pricing in three full rate cuts in 2024 to barely pricing in two. Even if the inflation environment is relatively steady, any sharp change in expected Fed policy could add to bond market volatility.

Think about it for a second. We have reached metamarkets now. The market's expectations of inflation are tempered but since the Fed's inflation expectations haven't, so the markets are literally pricing in a quasi inflation derivative, ie the expectation of the fed's expectation of the inflation. This is your portfolio manager, Chris Nolan, and he's here to give you a lesson on markets called Inception. 😴😴😴

Then that brings us to the next question, that if, let's say, the Fed waits, is there a risk that given how strong the US economy has been, that there is a chance that inflation might actually slowly creep up instead of going down as it has done, let's say, last year? This is really the key risk here. And when you look back to, for instance, the 1970s, this is really what happened. (Already covered in previous effortpost).

But maybe the truth is, most likely, we have a very different situation. Most likely, the cyclical part of inflation is probably gone now. It has all but disappeared. And in many ways, the western countries are now left with the structural part of this inflation. Structural part, which is clearly the consequence of very long term factors on the economy, demographics, deglobalization, international wars etc. I am not a Political Economist, so I'll just say vote for Biden. Or for Trump. Or just have fun.❤️❤️❤️

Clearly, there's no evidence that Washington is going to reign in fiscal deficits or the regulators will act aggressively to deepen liquidity in treasury markets. While many still expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates later this year (pipe dreams), yield curve inversion could persist for a further year or more.

Nor is there any sign that an inflation-scarred Federal Reserve is going to moderate their reaction to inflation news going forward.

In this supermeta scenario, bond market volatility is here to stay at least for a while, and as a pesky investor you may want to consider if your bond allocations are appropriate for the overall balance of their portfolios. In other words, fricking sell your current bonds and load up on the next offerings because I don't see rate cuts soon.

Sauce:

https://www.bea.gov

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_bill_rates&field_tdr_date_value=2024

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/BeigeBook_20240417.pdf

And finally,

Your mum's shrieks when I was doing her

!r-slurs !math

@Proud_Mossad_Asset please effortpost sir before it's too old

She found out last weekend. My mom found my stash of diapers under my bed in a drawer, when I got home she came into my room and closed the door. She then said, “we need to talk, now do you have a problem, because we can go to the doctors”. I insisted I had no bed wetting problems but she wanted to know why I had diapers in my room. So I just out right told her “I like wearing them, they're comfy, numerous celebrities have been rumoured to doing the same thing including Sean bean” (who she's a big fan of). I then said nowadays it's a popular and somewhat normal thing. She snapped back saying “well it's not normal”, not in an angry way, just confused I guess. She's found a paci on my floor and my plastic pants in the shower throughout the year. So I guess now she knows. But it doesn't seem to bother her tbh. I feel much better knowing that she knows, if she walks in on me wearing I guess it won't be the end of the world, but I'd never walk round the house wearing when anyones at home. I'm glad nothing changed between us though :)

mfw dramatards are so behind the times they're probably not even wearing diapers right now

So if you are an adult you should rely move it if your parents house. If you are not an adult please come back when you are over 18.

Moving out of your parents house? As a diaper fetishist? Is it possible?

That is easier said than done now days.

When i was in my 20's and early 30's it was a dream, but as i approach 45 and my mom is in her mid 70's, i am stuck. We share the expenses, i could not afford to live on my own, and she could not either. She pays the water, gas and electric. I do the cable, internet and our cell phones. I also usually pay all the groceries cause i am the one doing the shopping.

The house becomes mine when/if she passes, my brother and his wife want nothing to do with it

Apparently not. Also there will be a rift between you and your brother while you sit at home in your adult diapers waiting for your mother to die so you can inherit the house

It's a relief though! Now she knows , the sky hasn't fallen down ! And you can continue with your life ! I live with my mum also , and she knows , it gets easier as time goes by .

I wear my cute onesie about the house now ! My mum thinks it's cute.. (I can tell)

Who could be behind a post like this?

It's the local AGP , who spends his time in a girl's onesie pooping his pants in front of his mum. So cute!

I don't know if my mother knows, if she does she has so far had the sense not to try to talk about it (which would be uncharacteristic of her). There have been clues throughout my life, including the time she found my stash (I explained it away as part of a prank I was planning). I also didn't learn what internet search history was or how to erase it until fairly late in the game, one look at that and she'd have known.

It's just a prank bro

29 and still living at home for bidden to be ABD El had and everything and she even knows because of a scammer

Some guy got scammed so bad his mum found out about it and he got banned from the fetish

Hey OP,

If I were in your shoes, I would wear whenever I wanted to. Obviously I wouldn't walk around the house in just a t-shirt and diaper. But wearing under your regular clothes...

What's she going to do? She already knows you have them and wear/use them. Might as well enjoy the freedom of her knowing that you are wearing. Maybe after she hears your crinkle, she will become desensitized and realize it's not a big deal.

Here's another post that a guy managed to type entirely with one hand.

Oh my gosh. I've been "caught" too many times to count over my childhood and a few times I slipped up as an adult. I came out to my mother as ABDL early in January this year. I was tired of hiding it.

Keep this fetish to myself in the privacy of my own home? ...nah better tell mum

Additional information: as a s*x positive dramatard I decided to sign up to this website and so many of their members are there's literally an 'I am an autist' box on the signup page that you can fill in

#MCExclusive | Indian student, 'sacked' from #Canadian bank TD, for a viral video on 'free' groceries' was never an employee nor misusing government aid.

Here's what #MehulPrajapati told Moneycontrol in an exclusive interview 👇https://t.co/NnNl2YsLTI@BrownKhaleesi |…

— Moneycontrol (@moneycontrolcom) April 25, 2024

Hate messages inundated his inbox, and a wave of backlash ensued. Even more distressingly, rumours circulated that he had been terminated from his job at Canadian bank TD. But as is often the case, reality proved far removed from the sensationalised narrative. In an exclusive interview with Moneycontrol, Prajapati set the record straight, armed with supporting documents to vindicate himself. Contrary to the accusations, Prajapati was not pilfering from government-run food banks meant to aid the underprivileged.

Rather, he was availing himself of a legitimate program provided by Wilfrid Laurier University, where he pursues his Master's degree. The university's initiative, in collaboration with LSPIRG and Martin Luther University College, offers free groceries to students facing food insecurity.

The college website elucidates on the program. “LSPIRG and Martin Luther University College welcome you to our Free Weekly Distro program to combat food insecurity on campus. We provide free groceries and other essentials for Laurier and Luther students who need them,” it reads. The list also adds you must be a student of either college and have proper identification to avail this facility.

Alright so I just got expelled from school https://t.co/IVQivqDoLt

— 🤑🦍🟩⬜🟩TheNIGGAryan🤰🏻🔫👨🏿🗣️🔥 (@AntiHateComms) April 26, 2024